Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 0.003237 0.003394 0.003554 0.003730 0.003919 0.004114 0.004333
2025-05-18 0.002943 0.003175 0.003421 0.003703 0.004018 0.004359 0.004759
2025-05-25 0.002810 0.003092 0.003400 0.003762 0.004178 0.004646 0.005213
2025-06-01 0.002670 0.002982 0.003330 0.003750 0.004245 0.004814 0.005526
2025-06-08 0.002543 0.002877 0.003255 0.003720 0.004279 0.004938 0.005783
2025-06-15 0.002418 0.002765 0.003163 0.003660 0.004270 0.005003 0.005964
2025-06-22 0.002313 0.002670 0.003085 0.003611 0.004267 0.005069 0.006143
2025-06-29 0.002246 0.002616 0.003052 0.003613 0.004323 0.005209 0.006419
2025-07-06 0.002132 0.002500 0.002938 0.003507 0.004238 0.005162 0.006445
2025-07-13 0.002079 0.002457 0.002912 0.003510 0.004289 0.005290 0.006707
2025-07-20 0.002053 0.002445 0.002923 0.003559 0.004400 0.005499 0.007087
2025-07-27 0.001990 0.002384 0.002870 0.003523 0.004396 0.005553 0.007252
2025-08-03 0.001935 0.002334 0.002829 0.003501 0.004411 0.005634 0.007462
2025-08-10 0.001883 0.002284 0.002787 0.003476 0.004421 0.005707 0.007663
2025-08-17 0.001866 0.002280 0.002803 0.003530 0.004539 0.005936 0.008102
2025-08-24 0.001825 0.002242 0.002774 0.003519 0.004566 0.006034 0.008351
2025-08-31 0.001779 0.002197 0.002733 0.003491 0.004567 0.006095 0.008543
2025-09-07 0.001726 0.002140 0.002675 0.003437 0.004528 0.006094 0.008636
2025-09-14 0.001678 0.002089 0.002624 0.003391 0.004499 0.006107 0.008751
2025-09-21 0.001650 0.002065 0.002608 0.003393 0.004539 0.006222 0.009036
2025-09-28 0.001588 0.001992 0.002524 0.003296 0.004430 0.006108 0.008938
2025-10-05 0.001564 0.001971 0.002510 0.003299 0.004468 0.006220 0.009220
2025-10-12 0.001556 0.001971 0.002525 0.003344 0.004571 0.006435 0.009687